FanPost

Run Differential: Small Sample or Red Flag?

The better than expected start has made for a fun spring. Johan's guile and Capt. Kirk's style have meant I pretty much forgot about Jose when the Marlins ain't in town.

This could be a blast of a fun club to root for if they can find a replacement for Pelf and get at least one of the big lefties slugging again.

But are we luckier than good? I don't know what's considered a meaningful sample size for run differential - but ours is ugly.

At -30 we're worst in the NL and 2nd worst in all of MLB. Even if the CO 18-9 debacle was only 14-9 we'd still be next to last in the NL. Every other NL team in the red is closer to even than we are but every one is at least 2 games under .500.

Am I being a nattering nabob of negativism to be concerned that there's more than a little smoke and mirrors jazzing up our favorite show? Sure hope so 'cause I'm really enjoying our merry band of no-names. Anyone know of a benchmark for when run differential becomes meaningful?

Here's how the Mets stack up with other NL clubs with a negative run differntial:

Mets -30 14-13

Brewers -28 12-15

Cubs -23 10-17

Pirates -21 12-15

Padres -18 9-18

Marlins -10 12-14

Phils -5 13-15

This FanPost was contributed by a member of the community and was not subject to any vetting or approval process. It does not necessarily reflect the opinions, reasoning skills, or attention to grammar and usage rules held by the editors of this site.

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