FanPost

Run Differential: Small Sample or Red Flag?

The better than expected start has made for a fun spring. Johan's guile and Capt. Kirk's style have meant I pretty much forgot about Jose when the Marlins ain't in town.

This could be a blast of a fun club to root for if they can find a replacement for Pelf and get at least one of the big lefties slugging again.

But are we luckier than good? I don't know what's considered a meaningful sample size for run differential - but ours is ugly.

At -30 we're worst in the NL and 2nd worst in all of MLB. Even if the CO 18-9 debacle was only 14-9 we'd still be next to last in the NL. Every other NL team in the red is closer to even than we are but every one is at least 2 games under .500.

Am I being a nattering nabob of negativism to be concerned that there's more than a little smoke and mirrors jazzing up our favorite show? Sure hope so 'cause I'm really enjoying our merry band of no-names. Anyone know of a benchmark for when run differential becomes meaningful?

Here's how the Mets stack up with other NL clubs with a negative run differntial:

Mets -30 14-13

Brewers -28 12-15

Cubs -23 10-17

Pirates -21 12-15

Padres -18 9-18

Marlins -10 12-14

Phils -5 13-15

This FanPost was contributed by a member of the community and was not subject to any vetting or approval process. It does not necessarily reflect the opinions, reasoning skills, or attention to grammar and usage rules held by the editors of this site.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Amazin' Avenue

You must be a member of Amazin' Avenue to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Amazin' Avenue. You should read them.

Join Amazin' Avenue

You must be a member of Amazin' Avenue to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Amazin' Avenue. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker