FanPost

A New Market Inefficiency?  Maybe. Just Maybe.

Uh, hi. I'm somewhat new here, and after skulking around here for a couple of months, I figured I might as well right a fanpost. DISCLAIMER: This is just me throwing out a new idea, not necessarily a good one. Pretty please don't rip me apart with your advanced sabermetrics. Alright. Here it goes.


Every time the winter comes around, we start talking about market inefficiencies. We want to buy low and obtain players that have qualities not fully appreciated in the market at large. For Billy Beane, the market inefficiency was OBP. So naturally, he'd love Davis and Duda. But those days are gone. In fact, I think that OBP has been blown out of proportion. GMs and statheads look to OBP as the holy grail of hitting. Admittedly, they have a point. OBP is important. But in all of the stress about getting on base, power has become a bit undervalued. Guys like Chris Young, who has a career slugging average of .431, are getting overlooked because they are awful at drawing walks (and partially because he had a completely shitty season last year. But that's besides the point).

So, following my idea, I figured I'd look around the league at guys who slugged for a good amount but couldn't get a walk if the pitcher tried to walk them intentionally. One name immediately popped to mind: Mark Trumbo. He has a career slugging average of .469, but a laughable career OBP of .299. You can't deny that the power is there; in his three full seasons, he's hit 29, 32, and 34 homers, respectively. That's downright impressive, but that's also about all he can do. According to my theory, he could be got on the cheap, and then Kevin Towers had to blow my theory out of the water and offer a ludicrous deal in which he gave up a starting outfielder and a relief pitcher for a one dimensional player. I think I could assume that most people here thought it was a complete overpay for Trumbo, so I'll count this as being in line with my idea.

Next player I thought of? Daniel Murphy. A career slugging average of .424 and an OBP of .333. As we know, Murph doesn't hit a lot of homers. But he does hit doubles, a few triples, and the occasional homer. Unlike Trumbo, Murphy is not a one dimensional player, as I think we can agree he plays passable second base, is a very good contact hitter, hits for some power, and (surprisingly) is a good baserunner. But he still fits my mold of player that is undervalued. Which is why I'm happy we have him, unless Sandy can be ninja-GM and flip him for a blue chip prospect (Dylan Bundy, I'm looking at you).

Then, Chris Young, a guy who I previously brought up. Aside from a very down year last year, he has some pop. He hits doubles and the occasional homer, kinda like Murphy. Fine by me. Because of his down year (and, if I'm correct, his skill set) we got him at a relatively cheap price on this free agent market. He also plays good defense. Yayy. Juan Lagares is another guy who (hopefully) will fit that mold, with a career slash line of .282/.322/.405 in the minors.

In short, I'm not saying this is the way to go, but the Mets appear to have a fair amount of players with this skill set. I was just curious what your thoughts on the matter were. Thanks for reading, and comments are much appreciated.

This FanPost was contributed by a member of the community and was not subject to any vetting or approval process. It does not necessarily reflect the opinions, reasoning skills, or attention to grammar and usage rules held by the editors of this site.

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