FanPost

How the Mets stack up against WS winners (Offense)

Objective: To show how the 2013 Met offense stacks up against the 5 year average World Series winning teams offense.

Methodology: I used a smorgasbord of stats to find the average of the World Series winning teams offenses from the last five years and compared them to the 2013 Mets.

-If the AA community is receptive to the post I might do the pitching side of the house soon after. I'm also tinkering with the idea of doing a "How the potential 2014 Mets stack up" post as well, based on Streamer and Oliver predictions.

-All stats used in this post are compliments of fangraphs.

-The choice of "5 year average" is completely arbitrary. Maybe one day i'll do some research on the effectiveness of the 5WS average as an indicator of success.

Five Year WS Averages:

Team BB% K% ISO BABIP AVG OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ BsR Off WAR
2013 Red Sox 9.10% 20.50% 0.169 0.329 0.277 0.349 0.446 0.347 115 11.3 121.1 36.6 11 of 12
2012 Giants 7.80% 17.70% 0.128 0.315 0.269 0.327 0.397 0.314 100 4.6 7.1 27.1 3 of 12
2011 Cardinals 8.70% 15.70% 0.151 0.305 0.273 0.341 0.425 0.334 112 -5 83.8 29.7 5 of 12
2010 Giants 7.90% 17.90% 0.151 0.293 0.257 0.321 0.408 0.32 98 -16.9 -30.1 27 0 of 12
2009 Yankees 10.30% 15.70% 0.194 0.306 0.283 0.362 0.478 0.365 117 -1 136.4 33.2 11 of 12
AVG 8.76% 17.50% 0.1586 0.3096 0.2718 0.34 0.4308 0.336 108.4 -1.4 63.66 30.72 6

*Note the of 12 numbers to the far right of the chart are how each World Series team compares to the average figures of the five teams out of the 12 offensive categories.

How the 2013 Mets compare to the 5yr averages:

BB% K% ISO BABIP AVG OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ BsR Off WAR
5WS AVG 8.76% 17.50% 0.1586 0.3096 0.2718 0.34 0.4308 0.336 108.4 -1.4 63.66 30.72 6 of 12
2013Mets 8.20% 22.30% 0.129 0.291 0.237 0.306 0.366 0.297 89 21.4 -54 18.1 1 of 12

Analysis: The 2013 Mets did not stack up well with the 5WS average team, garnering an above average in only 1 of the 12 categories (Baserunning). However, a team with dominate pitching can still win the world series with a sub-par offense in all categories, a la the 2010 Giants.

How each 2013 Mets position compares to the 5WS average:

*Note: In an effort to save myself time I chose not to post every players individual stats here, only the overall team average by position. I will, however, provide some individual player tidbits in the analysis section.

*Note 2: Stats such as "War" and "Off" for the use of positional average are the total average divided by 8. I didn't use 9 because you can't expect much offensive production from the pitchers spot.

*Note 3: Some players have a small sample size from the 2013 season, i'll let you be the judge in how to weight their stats.

CATCHER

BB% K% ISO BABIP AVG OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ BsR Off WAR
5WS AVG 8.76% 17.50% 0.1586 0.3096 0.2718 0.34 0.4308 0.336 108.4 -1.4 7.96 3.84 6 of 12
Catcher 7.90% 25.00% 0.142 0.256 0.214 0.284 0.356 0.283 80 1.4 -13.9 1.6 1 of 12

Analysis: The catcher position was an offensive black-hole for the Mets in 2013. John Buck, our starting catcher for most of the season, was below the 5WS average in everything but BsR. In small sample sizes, Anthony Recker was a plus in 2 of 12 (ISO and BsR) and Travis d'Arnaud was also a plus in just 2 of 12 (BB% and BsR).

FIRST BASE

BB% K% ISO BABIP AVG OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ BsR Off WAR
AVG 8.76% 17.50% 0.1586 0.3096 0.2718 0.34 0.4308 0.336 108.4 -1.4 7.96 3.84 6 of 12
1B 14.50% 26.40% 0.153 0.298 0.229 0.347 0.382 0.325 109 -3.3 6.9 1.4 3 of 12

Analysis: Sadly 3 out of 12 is the 3'rd best ranking for Mets 2013 positions, behind only 3B (Thank you David Wright) and RF (Thank you Marlon Byrd). Ike Davis was above average in 2 of 12(BB% and BsR), Lucas Duda in 5 of 12(BB%, ISO, OBP, wOBA, and wRC+), and Josh Satin in 6 of 12(BB%, BABIP, AVG, OBP, wOBA, wRC+).

SECOND BASE

BB% K% ISO BABIP AVG OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ BsR Off WAR
AVG 8.76% 17.50% 0.1586 0.3096 0.2718 0.34 0.4308 0.336 108.4 -1.4 7.96 3.84 6 of 12
2B 4.80% 14.60% 0.129 0.299 0.269 0.307 0.398 0.309 98 8.2 6.3 2.6 2 of 12

Analysis: In Daniel Murphy's defense, he was good for a 5 out of 12 (K%, BABIP, AVG, BsR, and Off). Jordany Valdespin's lackluster play brought down second bases overall stats, 1 out of 12 (BsR).

THIRD BASE

BB% K% ISO BABIP AVG OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ BsR Off WAR
AVG 8.76% 17.50% 0.1586 0.3096 0.2718 0.34 0.4308 0.336 108.4 -1.4 7.96 3.84 6 of 12
3B 10.20% 18.80% 0.154 0.338 0.286 0.361 0.44 0.35 127 0 32.2 7.8 10 of 12

Analysis: The captain David Wright was good for 12 out of 12. Justin Turner's 3 out of 12 and Wilmer Flores' 1 out of 12 combined to bring third base down to an overall 10 out of 12.

SHORTSTOP

BB% K% ISO BABIP AVG OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ BsR Off WAR
AVG 8.76% 17.50% 0.1586 0.3096 0.2718 0.34 0.4308 0.336 108.4 -1.4 7.96 3.84 6 of 12
SS 7.90% 16.00% 0.07 0.276 0.232 0.296 0.302 0.266 68 0.3 -28.8 -0.1 2 of 12

Analysis: On the bright side, they didn't strike out too much, and they were ok base-runners. On the down side- everything else. Omar Quintanilla had 2 out of 12(BB% and BsR). Ruben Tejada also had 2 out of 12(K% and BsR).

LEFT FIELD

BB% K% ISO BABIP AVG OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ BsR Off WAR
AVG 8.76% 17.50% 0.1586 0.3096 0.2718 0.34 0.4308 0.336 108.4 -1.4 7.96 3.84 6 of 12
LF 10.40% 22.30% 0.129 0.275 0.224 0.314 0.353 0.299 91 8.8 -4.2 1.2 2 of 12

Analysis: Eric Young Jr. was good for 2 out of 12(K% and BsR). What can Andrew Brown do for you? How about 2 out of 12(ISO and BsR).

CENTER FIELD

BB% K% ISO BABIP AVG OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ BsR Off WAR
AVG 8.76% 17.50% 0.1586 0.3096 0.2718 0.34 0.4308 0.336 108.4 -1.4 7.96 3.84 6 of 12
CF 5.90% 25.20% 0.122 0.274 0.215 0.266 0.337 0.265 68 4.3 -27.3 2.3 1 of 12

Analysis: Juan Lagares had 2 out of 12 (BABIP and BsR). I won't bore you with details of rest of the dreck the Mets ran out to CF in 2013.

RIGHT FIELD

BB% K% ISO BABIP AVG OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ BsR Off WAR
AVG 8.76% 17.50% 0.1586 0.3096 0.2718 0.34 0.4308 0.336 108.4 -1.4 7.96 3.84 6 of 12
RF 7.00% 25.90% 0.179 0.311 0.251 0.313 0.43 0.325 109 1.4 10.1 2.9 6 of 12

Analysis: Right Field was the Mets only other "average" offensive producing position (3B being the other). Marlon Byrd was good for 8 out of 12 (ISO, BABIP, AVG, SLG, wRC+, BsR, Off, WAR). The dearly departed Mike Baxter had only 2 out of 12 (BB% and BsR).

Final Thoughts

-If there was a world series of base-running the Mets would have been contenders in 2013. Almost every one of their players beat the 5WS average.

-Nothing surprising here. Wright excellent. Byrd and Satin good. Murphy and Duda average. Everyone else, bad.

This FanPost was contributed by a member of the community and was not subject to any vetting or approval process. It does not necessarily reflect the opinions, reasoning skills, or attention to grammar and usage rules held by the editors of this site.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Amazin' Avenue

You must be a member of Amazin' Avenue to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Amazin' Avenue. You should read them.

Join Amazin' Avenue

You must be a member of Amazin' Avenue to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Amazin' Avenue. You should read them.

Spinner

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker