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Analysis: Game 2 Umpiring

Last night's game, aside from being one of the worst playoff losses the Mets have ever suffered, was probably the single worst job of home plate umpiring I have ever seen. You might expect Major League Baseball to select their playoff umpiring crews on merit, but last night's plate ump Jim Joyce did himself and the entire sport a disservice by calling a strike zone that was absurdly inaccurate and inconsistent at the same time. I'm going through MLB.com's own Enhanced Gameday looking at the pitch locations of some of his calls, and the evidence is pretty damning.

John Maine in particular was hurt by some terrible calls in the Cardinals' two-run second inning, but this was in no way a one-sided embarrassment. Joyce's only consistency last night may have been that his mercurial strike zone befuddled the Mets and Cardinals alike.

Here are the questionable calls I found over the course of the game. Some are borderline, some are blatantly miscalled. The green dot indicates that a ball was called, and in many cases the pitch was in or around the heart of the strike zone. Pitches three, four, and five below were all thrown by John Maine to Jim Edmonds during Edmonds's leadoff walk to begin the second inning. At least two of those pitches are obvious strikes, and the third would likely have been called a strike by the majority of the league's umpires (I'm conjecturing here). In a seven-pitch at-bat, Maine apparently threw five strikes to Edmonds and still managed to walk him.

The final pitch below came on a 2-2 count to So Taguchi in the top of the ninth. That pitch, a 98 MPH fastball from Billy Wagner, was called a ball, running the count full on Taguchi. Two foul balls later Taguchi, using every last ounce of sinewy strength in his body, smashed a 98 MPH Wagner offering into the left-field bullpen. Joyce's missed call on Taguchi doesn't explain why Wagner proceeded to give up hits to three of the next four batters, but who knows if it would have reached that point if he had simply made the correct call to begin with.

None of this is to say that the Mets lost the game because of poor officiating. Some calls surely didn't go their way, but the same can be said of the Cardinals. I have no idea if the game would have unfolded differently had strikes been called strikes and balls been called balls; all I ask is that the actions of the players, not the ineptness of the umpires, be allowed to determine the outcome of the game.

The irony of using MLB's own technology to point out the inadequacies of its officiating shouldn't be lost on anyone.

Click on any of the pitch charts below for a full-sized version.

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There was one pitch to Taguchi
and I realize it doesn't matter now, but I was pretty sure it was strike 3, not called, followed I think a couple of pitches later by the home run - any thoughts on that one, Eric?
"Hakuna Matata."

by Mr. Met on Oct 14, 2006 1:41 PM EDT reply actions  

You're too fast
I'm about to add the rest of the game, and that's the last (and the most devastating, at least to the Mets) mis-call of the game.

by Eric Simon on Oct 14, 2006 1:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

enough already
the ump wasn't good, but he was the same for both teams. Could you stop crying in your beer already. The Mets lost because the Cards were better last night. Glad it took you to the last paragraph to speak the truth. This is turning into Amazin' Whine

Maine was well off the plate with most of his balls and I got the sense that even if Taguchi would have been struck out Wagner was gonna blow the damn game anyway.

lets get them tonite.

end the madness.stop the war

by elifriedman on Oct 14, 2006 2:51 PM EDT reply actions  

Of course I disagree
When the rules are changed, the players are forced to play a different, unfamiliar game, and the result is effectively randomized.

"Better" under those circumstances is a rhetorical exercise.

by peeder on Oct 14, 2006 2:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well
Glad it took you to the last paragraph to speak the truth.

Actually I mentioned it in the second paragraph:

Joyce's only consistency last night may have been that his mercurial strike zone befuddled the Mets and Cardinals alike.

by Eric Simon on Oct 14, 2006 3:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

tell you what
why don't we have robots call balls and strikes. Umpires don't have benefit of the centerfield camera and the varied strike zone trackers. Eric, while  you did point out that both teams were hurt, you emphasized how it particularly hurt Maine. I seriously doubt you would have posted this had the Mets won last night.
end the madness.stop the war

by elifriedman on Oct 14, 2006 3:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ok
It's a fair point about Maine, but I don't think it's an unreasonable assumption that readers of a Mets blog would be more interested in seeing the orange-n-blue side of the coin. The walk to Edmonds and the pitch to Taguchi stick out in my mind most of all because I'm rooting for the Mets and those particular calls bothered me more than others.

Your robot point was snark at its best, but what I found particularly interesting about last night's officiating is was Joyce's propensity for calling what to me were obvious strikes balls. Anecdotally, I scarcely remember a game where that many clear strikes were called otherwise. Almost every game has its share of balls off the plate that are actually called strikes, but very rarely have I seen it called the other way around.

The fact is that I was looking at the pitch tracking as early as the second inning when it was clear that something was seriously wrong with Joyce's judgement. Whether I would have emphasized that point were the Mets to have won last night, let me just hop in my time machine and we'll have a looksee.

by Eric Simon on Oct 14, 2006 4:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

It wasn't all to the hitters' benefit either
Preston Wilson had a great look after the first strike he took, as if to say, "Oh, so it's gonna be like that, is it?"

Gramps too - he got so discombobulated after his second (called) strike he flailed wildly at strike 3 in the dirt.  There were plenty like that.  It was just a complete mystery how any pitch would be called.

I get eli's point completely.  Hopefully the Mets pitchers can shake it off.  My thought is that if they (and we) can chalk the loss up (at least in part) to bad officiating, that will help their (and our) confidence the next time out.

Hello? I forgot my mantra.

by Mr. Met on Oct 14, 2006 5:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

actually,
Several people here, including me, have recently remarked/complained about weird or inconsistent strike zones that worked to Met pitchers' benefit.  Glavine's game against the Dodgers in the Division Series, for instance, featured a ginormous outside corner that Glavine used to great advantage by reverting to his 1990s pitching pattern instead of trying to work inside.  We talked about it at the time.

Of course, it gets a little more notice when (a) the strike zone is bizarre and inconsistent and (b) the Mets lose the game because their pitchers can't keep it together.  I completely agree that this game wasn't lost by the umpires, but the umpiring can't have helped the psychology of Mota or Wagner, the two pitchers whose shakiness lost the Mets the game.

by anonymous on Oct 14, 2006 4:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

This is a truly hilarious post
and I would be laughing if I wasn't already CRFYING.

Anyway, I'm sure this has done more to ensure that Gameday no longer has that nifty feature than anything. The umpires will go on strike!

by peeder on Oct 14, 2006 2:55 PM EDT reply actions  

MLB's new Vice President of Umpire Operations
Vince McMahon
"Choo-Choo, what's your wife's name?" "Mrs. Coleman"

by Rod Gaspar Fan Club on Oct 14, 2006 3:00 PM EDT reply actions  

Robots
I never understand why people are against actually using instant replay or machines to judge strike zones.  First off, they would be consistent for every game, and you'd know what a strike was going in.  They'd be much more efficient than real people.  Purists don't like it because it takes away the human element, but then everyone complains when bad calls are made.
When asked why I was a Mets fan, I responded, "pain is my lifeblood."

by wrightHOF on Oct 14, 2006 5:32 PM EDT reply actions  

The human element is one thing
the fat, drunk and stupid element is something else entirely.
Hello? I forgot my mantra.

by Mr. Met on Oct 14, 2006 5:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

remember
that the top and bottom edges of the strike zone are defined with reference to the batter in his hitting stance.  Seeing these edges correctly is almost impossible to automate, since they change from batter to batter and may change slightly from pitch to pitch.  It's one of the biggest cheats in the computer-superimposed boxes on TV that they just basically guess at this.  If you watch the TV boxes carefully they're often quite clearly wrong on the top edge, and sometimes on the bottom.

by anonymous on Oct 14, 2006 5:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

and I should say
that I don't know how Questec does this, and I'd be interested to learn, but I assume it involves a human eyeballing the top and bottom based on stills of each batter at the time the ball crosses the plate.  And this kind of guesswork compromise, that you're willing to tolerate in an an after-the-fact automated system that exists solely to check up on umpires, might not work at all in a live game situation.

by anonymous on Oct 14, 2006 5:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

excellent point
How quickly and easily would a machine be able to differentiate between the strike zones of David Eckstein and Richie Sexson?  What about someone like Rickey Henderson?

Also, the strike zone has three dimensions.  With most umps, the ball can catch a piece of the plate anywhere from the front to the back for a stike.  There's a lot to account for, dimensionally.

[Citizens Bank Park] is a paradise of cheap homeruns. -Gary Cohen

by kingcritical on Oct 14, 2006 6:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not hard to address
Either sensors can be placed on the uniform and inspected as the batter stands at the plate, or the levels can be set by an umpire upstairs.

Either way, having the zone visible on TV at the start of an at bat would allow policing of it just as we are trying to do with the hapless Mr. Joyce.

Tennis has a nearly completely automated system now; they've been calling service depth for decades automatically. Hockey calls goals this way as well.

I'm for it. Let the umps call the plays on the diamond, and interpret the rules. Have a challenge system where you get two or three challanges per game, and one more for extra innings.

This I think actually returns the human element to the game, as it allows the humans we pay to see play without interference from the humans we curse.

by peeder on Oct 14, 2006 9:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

And, he is right...
... because that comment was posted at 5:03 central time, not 4:03.

Eric, feel free to delete these comments, just trying to help.

by Al Yellon on Oct 14, 2006 6:03 PM EDT reply actions  

Is That The Current Strike Zone???
I only catch the games over the internet via the radio feeds so I don't get to see many, if any, games during the season.  Is the strike zone depicted in those images the official strike zone that's supposed to be called by the umpires?  If so,  then I can see why the pitching situation is the way  it is right now in the majors.  Man, that is a small strike zone.  I know it varies batter by batter but if this is the standard strike zone.... poor pitchers-- no wonder why they need to throw so many pitches!  
"We praise or blame as one or the other affords more opportunity for exhibiting our power of judgement." Friedrich Nietzsche, "All Too Human" (1878)

by wgarrett on Oct 15, 2006 3:07 PM EDT reply actions  

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