Vegas Over/Unders vs. PECOTA vs. Chaos Theory
The Vegas Over/Unders are out. So are PECOTA's season predictions. Which would you bet on?
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Dave Allen at The Baseball Analysts provides a graph of projected wins for NL East teams according...
Dave Allen at The Baseball Analysts provides a graph of projected wins for NL East teams according to various projection systems. The Mets projections range from 75 to 85 wins, with ~80 being the consensus. The graph is near identical to last year's, which turned out to be pretty spot on.
PECOTA Hates The Mets, Loves Johan Santana
Baseball Prospectus's forecasting system thinks the Mets are dreck, but has an irrational love affair with Johan.
The Mets Are Who The Computers Thought They Were
The Mets are living up to their mediocre expectations.
Dave Allen at The Baseball Analysts provides this graph of projected wins for NL East teams per the...
Dave Allen at The Baseball Analysts provides this graph of projected wins for NL East teams per the various systems. 75-80 wins is the general consensus and all but one system projects 4th place. Trying hard to remain objective, 80-85 wins is my prediction.
First Look At 2010 PECOTA Depth Charts
First Look At 2010 PECOTA Depth Charts
Livan Strikes Out Pujols
Livan Hernandez's strikeout of Albert Pujols gives me hope in miracles.
Mets Starting Pitcher PECOTA Comparables
PECOTA cards are out for 2009 pitchers, and the Mets' starters have some interesting comparables.
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The WAR Room
As part of Beyond the Box Score's Community WAR Project 2009, Amazin' Avenue will being projecting the Mets 2009. I've already filled in most of the Mets' section of Sky's spreadsheet, using CHONE,...
