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Vegas Over/Unders vs. PECOTA vs. Chaos Theory

The Vegas Over/Unders are out. So are PECOTA's season predictions. Which would you bet on?

Dave Allen at The Baseball Analysts provides a graph of projected wins for NL East teams according...

Nl_east_2011_dave_allen

Dave Allen at The Baseball Analysts provides a graph of projected wins for NL East teams according to various projection systems. The Mets projections range from 75 to 85 wins, with ~80 being the consensus. The graph is near identical to last year's, which turned out to be pretty spot on.

PECOTA Hates The Mets, Loves Johan Santana

Baseball Prospectus's forecasting system thinks the Mets are dreck, but has an irrational love affair with Johan.

The Mets Are Who The Computers Thought They Were

The Mets are living up to their mediocre expectations.

Dave Allen at The Baseball Analysts provides this graph of projected wins for NL East teams per the...

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Dave Allen at The Baseball Analysts provides this graph of projected wins for NL East teams per the various systems. 75-80 wins is the general consensus and all but one system projects 4th place. Trying hard to remain objective, 80-85 wins is my prediction.

First Look At 2010 PECOTA Depth Charts

First Look At 2010 PECOTA Depth Charts

Livan Strikes Out Pujols

Livan Hernandez's strikeout of Albert Pujols gives me hope in miracles.

Mets Starting Pitcher PECOTA Comparables

PECOTA cards are out for 2009 pitchers, and the Mets' starters have some interesting comparables.

BP Fantasy Beat: First Base

"PECOTA thinks that Carlos Delgado still has something left in the tank; I'm a bit skeptical, but PECOTA is usually pretty good about sounding the death knell on players who are losing their skills, and it clearly doesn't think that Delgado's there."

FanPost

The WAR Room

As part of Beyond the Box Score's Community WAR Project 2009, Amazin' Avenue will being projecting the Mets 2009. I've already filled in most of the Mets' section of Sky's spreadsheet, using CHONE,...

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