The Vegas Over/Unders are out. So are PECOTA's season predictions. Which would you bet on?
The first aspects of Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA forecasts came out yesterday. One would not expect them to be optimistic regarding the Rockies, but it may be worse than you thought.
PECOTA projections are only available to beta testers right now, but come check out the few we snuck away for your viewing.
Baseball Prospectus's forecasting system thinks the Mets are dreck, but has an irrational love affair with Johan.
2007-2010 American League differentials in actual and preseason PECOTA projections for wins. (2010 adjusted for games played so far.)
Dave Allen at The Baseball Analysts provides this graph of projected wins for NL East teams per the various systems. 75-80 wins is the general consensus and all but one system projects 4th place. Trying hard to remain objective, 80-85 wins is my prediction.