statcorner Stories - Amazin' Avenue
Redding's Debut
The Mets signed Tim Redding to a 1-year contract this past offseason to little fanfare. The general consensus was that it was a decent signing to solidify the back end of the rotation, and the Mets starting pitching projected nicely assuming Derek Lowe could be signed as well. That was not meant...
Mets Bullpen Swinging Strike %
(click to embiggen) Swinging strike % (SwStr%) is the percentage of pitches thrown that result in a swing and miss. It's a quick way to tell how good a pitcher's "stuff" is and correlates strongly with strikeout ratio. For some context, average SwStr% for relief pitchers is around 9.5% and Juan...
Big Fatty vs. Tiny Tim
Tonight's pitching battle between Livan Hernandez and Tim Lincecum is likely the biggest mismatch of the Mets' season. The only way these two could be more dissimilar is if one threw lefthanded. The physical differences are striking. Livan checks in at 6'2", and a conservative 245 lbs., while...
Ten Starting Pitchers Who Deserve Better ERAs
Continuing with my recent theme of separating the real performances from the flukey ones, I'm going to take a look at starting pitchers whose skills indicate their ERAs are currently too high. You might call these them unlucky. In yesterday's look at the lucky pitchers, I used FIP, an ERA-like...
Top 10 Overrated Starters in 2009
We're at the point in the baseball season where all the two-week flash-in-the-pan performances have melted away and nobody is on pace for 100 home runs anymore. But that doesn't mean all the numbers out there are for real, especially on the pitching side of the ball. Some starting pitchers with...
NL East Starting Pitching Thus Far
The Mets starting rotation, besides Johan Santana, had an awful first month of the season. This fact has been covered extensively, here, here, and here. However, in the last week, Mike Pelfrey, John Maine, and Livan Hernandez have each made encouraging starts. How does the Mets pitching staff...
Saber-Friendly Blogging 101: Pitching RAR
(Short version: download the 2008 RAR data for starting pitchers.) Saber-Friendly Blogging 101 is my attempt to give team-specific bloggers article ideas and the data necessary to write their own saber-friendly articles -- the articles I want to read, but can't find enough of. In the first...
Post-Previewing The AL MVP
Like I did with the NL MVP Award, I want to take a look at a few different player rating systems and a couple different voting groups. First up, here's a look at a system that includes clutch performance via Win Probability Added. Position adjustments and fielding numbers are taken from Justin's...
tRA Votes For The 2008 Cy Youngs
If you're not familiar with tRA, get familiar. Here's the full explanation and there's also a no-numbers version. Basically, it's the next generation of DIPS. Pitchers receive park-adjusted credit or blame based on eight categories of outcomes (strikeouts, homeruns, walks, ground balls, etc) but...
StatCorner 1.0
Hey all, just a quick note to let you know that we're out of Beta (in just 58 days, take that Google!). Some brief highlights: New presentation, with a little less harsh green and including an actual logo Minor league data from 2007 and 2008. Please note that we do not (yet) have park factor...
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