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2005 Mets Full Season Projections: Batters

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As promised, here are the 2005 Mets batter projections based on the first 54 games of the season.


PROJECTED 2005 BATTING NUMBERS

                     AB     H     HR     R     RBI     BB     SO     SB/CS     BA     OBP     SLG
Jose Reyes          681   189      9    87      63     24    102     42/12   .278    .305    .423
Kaz Matsui          459   111      9    54      60     21     78      6/0    .242    .280    .340
Carlos Beltran      540   159     21    75      81     48    105      3/6    .294    .348    .472
Cliff Floyd         534   147     36    93     102     54    102     12/6    .275    .340    .522
Mike Piazza         516   126     18    60      78     51     78      0/0    .244    .312    .424
Mike Cameron        470   165     25   105      55     75    115     25/0    .351    .450    .638
David Wright        534   159     24    84      87     78    111     12/6    .298    .393    .517
Doug Mientkiewicz   480    99     21    54      60     60     78      0/3    .206    .299    .356
Mike Cameron's line is extremely gaudy, enhanced by only having played 25 games thus far. I had to extrapolate a bit more for him due to the time he missed, and wound up muxing all of his stats by a factor of five instead of the usual three. His RBI numbers have been unusually low this year, picking up only 11 in his 25 games played. Considering his batting line he should have a bunch more than that.

I wish Reyes could inherit Minky's base-on-balls skill and little else. If Reyes could have turned 26 of his outs into walks (based on his ratio of hits-to-outs and Minky's 60 total walks), he would end up hitting .278/.342/.426, which would be pretty solid considering his stolen base and defensive potential.