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Aftermath: Mets vs Diamondbacks (05/29/2006 - 05/31/2006)

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Game 1: Mets 8, Diamondbacks 7


(Source: fangraphs.com - what's this?)

Steve Trachsel's line from Game 1:

 IP   H   R  ER  BB  SO  HR   PC-ST   GS
6.0   7   4   4   1   4   2   93-58   45
Sadly, this was Trachsel's second-best start in May, trailing only his one-run performance against the Cardinals on May 17th.

Mr. Met:

  • Hitting: Paul Lo Duca, 32.2% WPA
  • Pitching: Duaner Sanchez, 4.5% WPA
Mr. Regret:
  • Hitting: Carlos Delgado, -24.8% WPA
  • Pitching: Aaron Heilman, -36.8% WPA

Game 2: Diamondbacks 7, Mets 2


(Source: fangraphs.com - what's this?)

Alay Soler's line from Game 2:

 IP   H   R  ER  BB  SO  HR   PC-ST   GS
5.0   8   7   7   3   1   2   95-57   21
If Soler's first big league start was encouraging, this was quite the opposite. Soler was battered around by the D'Backs, showing very little command of any of his pitches, leaving fastballs up in the zone and running too many deep counts.

Mr. Met:

  • Hitting: Cliff Floyd, 9.8% WPA
  • Pitching: Darren Oliver 1.5% WPA
Mr. Regret:
  • Hitting: David Wright, -11.4% WPA
  • Pitching: Alay Soler, -31.2% WPA

Game 3: Mets 1, Diamondbacks 0


(Source: fangraphs.com - what's this?)

Pedro Martinez's line from Game 3:

 IP   H   R  ER  BB  SO  HR   PC-ST   GS
8.0   5   0   0   8   0   0  106-74   80
With a little more run support (and bullpen support) Pedro might have seven or eight wins right now instead of just five. Amazingly, Pedro went 0-1 in May despite the following line:
 IP        ERA    H    SO    BB
42.0   2.14   25    55     6
Ungodly, Pedro posted a 0.77 WHIP for the month and didn't win a single game. His K/9 was 11.8, K/BB was 9.2 (!). The WPA graph for this game is brilliant, and really reinforces what we already knew intuitively. The graph clearly demonstrates the back-and-forth nature of a pitchers duel such as last night's, as each team struggled for baserunners and really never had any legitimate scoring opportunities. The amplitude (height) of the peaks (and valleys) increased as the game progressed, as the value of each potential run likewise increased since there would have been less time to mount a comeback.

Mr. Met:

  • Hitting: Endy Chavez, 23.8% WPA
  • Pitching: Pedro Martinez, 57.6% WPA
Mr. Regret:
  • Hitting: Carlos Beltran, -26.4% WPA
  • Pitching: Billy Wagner, 29.8% WPA
If your "worst" pitcher of the night still contributed almost 30% of a win you know you're in pretty good shape. Not pictured: Duaner Sanchez's 3.0 innings and 44.7% WPA.