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Aftermath: Mets vs Braves (04/06/2007)

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Mets 11, Braves 1


(Source: fangraphs.com - what's this?)

Oliver Perez's pitching line:

 IP   H   R  ER  BB  SO  HR   PC-ST   GS
7.0   5   1   1   0   6   1   82-55   69
If you want to distill last night's game down to its essence, it would be this: the Mets did everything right and the Braves did everything wrong. The Mets pitched, hit, and fielded marvelously, and the Braves did none of the above. Given that, it can't be much of a surprise that the score turned out as lopsided as it did.

In dominating their opponents through the first four games of the season, the Mets have scored 31 runs and allowed just three, posting a run differential that would humiliate a little league team. While the actual spread is fairly outlandish, it's not as if the Mets haven't truly dominated the Cardinals and Braves. The Mets have collectively hit .311/.375/.453 while allowing opposing batters to hit just .198/.260/.289. Mets starting pitchers are 4-0 with a 1.00 ERA and 0.81 WHIP, while the bullpen has yet to allow a run in nine innings of work.

The three runs against is absurd. Given the baserunners allowed it probably should be more like fifteen, but Mets pitchers have been unusually effective when there are runners in scoring position, surrendering just one hit -- a single on opening day -- and keeping hitters to a .063/.211/.063 line. They won't be able to sustain that for any significant period of time, but that right there is the primary reason for the miniscule runs against to this point.

Mr. Met:

  • Hitting: Jose Reyes, 7.1% WPA
  • Pitching: Oliver Perez, 9.0% WPA
Mr. Regret:
  • Hitting: Carlos Delgado, -9.4% WPA
  • Pitching: none

(FanGraphs.com)
(ESPN.com Boxscore)