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Project Jason Bay's Defense

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Defense will play a pivotal role in determining if 31 year-old Jason Bay is worth his massive contract. Given the following information, project his corner outfield defense:

(he played about 150 games each of the last three seasons)

UZR

-13 runs in 2009, -42.9 runs from 2007-2009

Fans projection: -11.6 runs

Jeff Zimmerman projection:-11 runs

Plus/Minus

-4 runs in 2009, -17 runs from 2007-2009

TotalZone

+7 runs in 2009, -28 runs from 2007-2009

CHONE projection: -4 runs