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Mets - Athletics Saber-stat Series Preview

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Tonight the Mets (35-37, 9.5GB) begin a three-game series against the Oakland Athletics (33-40, 5.5GB).

The Athletics have been one of the elite run prevention teams this year, although injuries and regression have slowed them of late. The Mets' starting rotation has improved over the last month, but is still 12% below league average. However, the staff is now 6% better than league average in terms of K/BB, which is a very encouraging sign.

Given the utter lack of home run pop in either lineup I wouldn't expect many offensive fire works.

I'll take the Mets to win the series.


Graphic Guide: League average is scaled to 100. Scores higher than 100 indicate performance better than league average, less than 100 indicates performance worse than league average regardless of the statistic. For example, if a team has a FIP of 110% on the graph their actual FIP is 10% better than league average.


RS/G: Runs Scored per Game

wOBA: Weighted On-base Average

OBP: On-base Percentage

SLG: Slugging

BABIP: Batting Average on Balls in Play

LD%: Line-drive Percentage

HR/FB: Home run to Fly Ball Ratio


RA/G: Runs Against per Game

FIP: Fielding Independent Pitching

tERA: True Runs Allowed

LOB%: Left On-base Percentage

BABIP: Batting Average on Balls in Play

K/BB: Strikeouts to Walk Ratio

HR/FB: Home run to Fly Ball Ratio