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Mets-Braves Saber-stat Series Preview

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Today, the Mets (26-30, 8GB) begin a three-game home stand against the Atlanta Braves (31-26, 3.5GB).

This match-up resembles the recent series against the Phillies. The Mets are as good or slightly better offensively than their opponent, but the pitching...dear God the pitching.

Atlanta's pitching staff has almost been the equal of the Phillies to this point in the season. The Braves have allowed the fewest runs in all of baseball this year. And even with their average offense, the Braves expected record looks more like 33-24, half a game better than the Phillies expected record.


Graphic Guide: League average is scaled to 100. Scores higher than 100 indicate performance better than league average, less than 100 indicates performance worse than league average regardless of the statistic. For example, if a team has a FIP of 110% on the graph their actual FIP is 10% better than league average.


RS: Runs Scored

wOBA: Weighted On-base Average

OBP: On-base Percentage

SLG: Slugging

BABIP: Batting Average on Balls in Play

LD%: Line-drive Percentage

HR/FB: Home run to Fly Ball Ratio


RA: Runs Against

FIP: Fielding Independent Pitching

tERA: True Runs Allowed

LOB%: Left On-base Percentage

BABIP: Batting Average on Balls in Play

K/9-BB/9: Strikeouts per 9 innings divided by Walks per 9 innings

HR/FB: Home run to Fly Ball Ratio