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Mets vs. Brewers Saber-stat Series Preview

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Tonight the Mets (28-31, 7.5GB) begin a three-game series against the Brewers (34-26, 1.5GB).

Offensively, these two clubs are very even, except of course for their HR/FB rates. That being said, there is a sizeable difference in the pitching (I know, big surprise). Both clubs are below league average when it comes to runs against, but the Brewers have a clear edge. Yes, the Mets pitching has looked better of late (particularly the starters), but so has the Brewers. Brewers pitchers do a much better job keeping runners off base, which is a good thing considering they do give up the long ball at about the same rate as the Mets.


Graphic Guide: League average is scaled to 100. Scores higher than 100 indicate performance better than league average, less than 100 indicates performance worse than league average regardless of the statistic. For example, if a team has a FIP of 110% on the graph their actual FIP is 10% better than league average.


RS/G: Runs Scored per Game

wOBA: Weighted On-base Average

OBP: On-base Percentage

SLG: Slugging

BABIP: Batting Average on Balls in Play

LD%: Line-drive Percentage

HR/FB: Home run to Fly Ball Ratio


RA/G: Runs Against per Game

FIP: Fielding Independent Pitching

tERA: True Runs Allowed

LOB%: Left On-base Percentage

BABIP: Batting Average on Balls in Play

K/BB: Strikeouts to Walk Ratio

HR/FB: Home run to Fly Ball Ratio