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Tonight, the above .500 Mets (41-40, 9.5GB) begin a three-game series against the New York Yankees (48-31, 1st AL East).
The Mets have been playing well, but the Yankees have been playing even better, going 8-2 over their last 10 games. I certainly didn't see the Yankees starting pitching holding up as well as it has to this point in the season, but it's hard to deny that they've been pretty good, especially when you think about their run environment.
As before, the biggest challenge for the Mets will be limiting the home run ball. Yes, the Mets are playing this series in Citi, and yes, their HR/FB ratio against looks much better there (7.4%). However, the Yankees still hit 15.3% of their fly balls for home runs on the road.
Even though the Mets' top-two starters in terms of home HR/FB aren't pitching this series (Pelfrey and Capuano), I still have a feeling the Mets can take two out of three against the Yanks.
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Graphic Guide: League average is scaled to 100. Scores higher than 100 indicate performance better than league average, less than 100 indicates performance worse than league average regardless of the statistic. For example, if a team has a FIP of 110% on the graph their actual FIP is 10% better than league average.
Offense
RS/G: Runs Scored per Game
wOBA: Weighted On-base Average
OBP: On-base Percentage
SLG: Slugging
BABIP: Batting Average on Balls in Play
HR/FB: Home run to Fly Ball Ratio
Defense
RA/G: Runs Against per Game
FIP: Fielding Independent Pitching
tERA: True Runs Allowed
LOB%: Left On-base Percentage
BABIP: Batting Average on Balls in Play
K/BB: Strikeouts to Walk Ratio
HR/FB: Home run to Fly Ball Ratio
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