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Mets vs. Giants Saber-stat Series Preview

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After taking three out of four from the Dodgers, the Mets (45-43, 10GB) travel to San Francisco to close out the first half of the season with a three-game series against the Giants (50-39, 1st NL West).

Much like last year, the Giants are doing it with pitching. They are well above league average in just about every category, and ungodly when it comes to preventing home runs on fly balls. Now, part of that is a park factor, but compare their rate to the Mets.

Generally speaking, I am a pitching > hitting guy. But the Mets are playing well and have been the NL's best team on the road (26-21). I'd feel a whole lot better if Reyes was in the lineup, but I'll still say the Mets close out by winning the series.


Graphic Guide: League average is scaled to 100. Scores higher than 100 indicate performance better than league average, less than 100 indicates performance worse than league average regardless of the statistic. For example, if a team has a FIP of 110% on the graph their actual FIP is 10% better than league average.


RS/G: Runs Scored per Game

wOBA: Weighted On-base Average

OBP: On-base Percentage

SLG: Slugging

BABIP: Batting Average on Balls in Play

LD%: Line-drive Percentage

HR/FB: Home run to Fly Ball Ratio


RA/G: Runs Against per Game

FIP: Fielding Independent Pitching

tERA: True Runs Allowed

LOB%: Left On-base Percentage

BABIP: Batting Average on Balls in Play

K/BB: Strikeouts to Walk Ratio

HR/FB: Home run to Fly Ball Ratio