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Mets vs. Padres Saber-stat Series Preview

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Tonight, the Mets(56-57) welcome the San Diego Padres (51-64) to town for a four-game series.

You'll notice the formatting is a bit off for this preview. That's because I am on vacation and trying to throw this together on a iPad that I am still getting used to.

Nevertheless, the Mets come in as the better hitting team. Both teams benefit from run-depressing home parks, but the Padres' have still been better than league average on the road (OPS+ of 95).

That being said, the Mets should easily split this series if not win it outright.

For more on the Padres be sure to check out Gaslamp Ball.


Graphic Guide: League average is scaled to 100. Scores higher than 100 indicate performance better than league average, less than 100 indicates performance worse than league average regardless of the statistic. For example, if a team has a FIP of 110% on the graph their actual FIP is 10% better than league average.

Statistics have not been park adjusted, but are adjusted for each team's respective league.


RS/G: Runs Scored per Game

wOBA: Weighted On-base Average

OBP: On-base Percentage

SLG: Slugging

BABIP: Batting Average on Balls in Play

LD%: Line-drive Percentage

HR/FB: Home run to Fly Ball Ratio


RA/G: Runs Against per Game

FIP: Fielding Independent Pitching

tERA: True Runs Allowed

SIERA: Skill-Interactive Earned Run Average (FanGraphs' version)

BABIP: Batting Average on Balls in Play

K/BB: Strikeouts to Walk Ratio

HR/FB: Home run to Fly Ball Ratio