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Mets vs. Cardinals Saber-stat Preview

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Today, the Mets (73-80) begin a three-game road series against the St. Louis Cardinals (84-69).

The Cardinals, once thought dead, have cut the Braves lead in the Wild Card down to just two games in the loss column (thanks in part to the Mets taking two out of three against Atlanta). It's a tough position to be in as a Mets fan--helping the Cardinals by beating the Braves.

The Cardinals have the edge in the power area, which accounts for the difference in run scoring. Both teams' run prevention has been pretty meh, but the Cardinals do a better job of keeping runners off base via the walk (roughly half a walk per game).

Cardinals pitchers have been better home than away, and it's the exact opposite for the Mets.

Cards are surging, and have the Wild Card in their sights. Cardinals take two out of three.

For more on the Cardinals, check out the always excellent Viva El Birdos.


Graphic Guide: League average is scaled to 100. Scores higher than 100 indicate performance better than league average, less than 100 indicates performance worse than league average regardless of the statistic. For example, if a team has a FIP of 110% on the graph their actual FIP is 10% better than league average.

Statistics have not been park adjusted, but are adjusted for each team's respective league.


RS/G: Runs Scored per Game

wOBA: Weighted On-base Average

OBP: On-base Percentage

SLG: Slugging

BABIP: Batting Average on Balls in Play

LD%: Line-drive Percentage

HR/FB: Home run to Fly Ball Ratio


RA/G: Runs Against per Game

FIP: Fielding Independent Pitching

tERA: True Runs Allowed

SIERA: Skill-Interactive Earned Run Average (FanGraphs' version)

BABIP: Batting Average on Balls in Play

K/BB: Strikeouts to Walk Ratio

HR/FB: Home run to Fly Ball Ratio