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Mets vs. Braves Saber-stat Preview

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Today at Citi Field, the Mets (70-71) welcome the Atlanta Braves (82-60) to town for a make-up double header.

The Braves have only won 3 of their last 10--including a sweep by the Phillies--but they still lead the NL Wild Card race by 7 games in the loss column. Meanwhile, the Mets have won 7 of their last 10, including series wins against the Marlins and Nationals.

Over their last 10 games, the Braves offense has only mustered 2.6 runs per game. Granted, they just ran into the run prevention beast that is the Phillies, but that's still pretty ugly. The Mets have fared much better over their last 10, scoring 4.6 per game, competition being what it was in the Marlins and Nationals.

These two games feature a bunch of young starters on both sides. I'm normally not a big believer in momentum, but I'll leave that aside for now. Mets bats stay hot and take both games from Atlanta.

For more on the Braves, be sure to stop by Talking Chop.


Graphic Guide: League average is scaled to 100. Scores higher than 100 indicate performance better than league average, less than 100 indicates performance worse than league average regardless of the statistic. For example, if a team has a FIP of 110% on the graph their actual FIP is 10% better than league average.

Statistics have not been park adjusted, but are adjusted for each team's respective league.


RS/G: Runs Scored per Game

wOBA: Weighted On-base Average

OBP: On-base Percentage

SLG: Slugging

BABIP: Batting Average on Balls in Play

LD%: Line-drive Percentage

HR/FB: Home run to Fly Ball Ratio


RA/G: Runs Against per Game

FIP: Fielding Independent Pitching

tERA: True Runs Allowed

SIERA: Skill-Interactive Earned Run Average (FanGraphs' version)

BABIP: Batting Average on Balls in Play

K/BB: Strikeouts to Walk Ratio

HR/FB: Home run to Fly Ball Ratio