Baseball Prospectus releases list of Mets' top 10 prospects for 2016

Baseball Prospectus released its annual rankings of the Mets’ top ten prospects, and after Steven Matz and Amed Rosario at the spots, they are less than bullish on a farm system that has graduated most of its top prospects in recent years.

BP puts the 20-year-old Rosario at number two, where Amazin' Avenue placed him and a spot ahead of where both ESPN and MLB.com ranked him, and then 18-year-old Luis Carpio slots in as a surprise at the third spot. While other experts put Carpio near the bottom of the Mets’ top ten, BP was impressed by Carpio’s success as a teenager in the Appalachian League. Arguing he is more "polish than tools," though, they compared him to Ruben Tejada with more pop.

BP says that Carpio could join the list after next season, which says a lot about how they feel about the next seven players on the Mets top prospects. While Keith Law ranked Dominic Smith as the team’s top prospect, 29th in all of baseball, BP questioned his glove and wondered if, after Smith hit a combined seven home runs over his first two professional seasons, the power will ever develop.

BP, though, is perfectly in line with the growing industry consensus on Brandon Nimmo, noting his overly passive approach and lower body injuries that have probably sapped him of the speed to play center field. They project Sandy Alderson’s first draft pick as Mets GM as a fourth outfielder or platoon player.