Jacob deGrom wasn't exactly bad, but he wasn't particularly good, either, at least by the standards he set over the past couple of seasons. He allowed three runs and threw 102 pitches in six-and-one-third innings. He struck out three and walked three, and his strikeout rate on the season now stands at a paltry 5.75 per nine innings. And his four-seam fastball velocity, which has been down all season but had averaged over 94 miles per hour in each of his last three starts, was a career-low 91.9 miles per hour.
Considering all of that, deGrom's results in the early going this season are fairly impressive. And the Mets' loss on Sunday should definitely be chalked up to more than just his performance. Though deGrom gave up a run in the second inning—thanks largely to a terrible play by Michael Conforto in left field that turned an out into a double—that only tied the game, as Yoenis Cespedes had hit a home run in the first. And deGrom himself drove in a run in the third before Conforto followed suit to give the Mets a 3-1 lead.
deGrom gave up a solo home run to Carlos Gonzalez, who had been cold but is still Carlos Gonzalez, in the sixth inning. Still, the Mets had the lead. In the seventh, however, deGrom was removed from the game with one out and a runner on second base. Terry Collins called upon Jim Henderson, who's been very good this year. But he served up a two-run home run to pinch hitter Ryan Raburn, and that wound up being the difference in the final score of the game.
The Mets had a great chance to come back in the eighth inning, as Juan Lagares pinch hit for Conforto and hit a one-out double. The Rockies intentionally walked Cespedes to get to Lucas Duda, who hit a cue shot off the end of his bat to third base wizard Nolan Arenado. But Arenado only had a play at first, as Lagares bolted past—and ever so slightly around—him on his way to third base. But the second base umpire ruled that Lagares was out because he had left the baseline. It was an absurd call.
There's no guarantee that the Mets would have tied the game or taken the lead if that call hadn't been made, but their odds were a lot better with runners on second and third and two outs than they were with the inning over. They didn't give up any more runs, but they didn't score again, either, in the ninth.
SB Nation GameThreads
Win Probability Added
Big winners: Jacob deGrom, +15.7% WPA, Eric Campbell, +10.5% WPA
Big losers: Lucas Duda, -30.0% WPA, Jim Henderson, -28.2% WPA
Teh aw3s0mest play: Juan Lagares hits a one-out double in the eighth, +9.5 %WPA
Teh sux0rest play: Ryan Raburn hits a go-ahead two-run home run in the seventh, -31.4% WPA
Total pitcher WPA: -8.2% WPA
Total batter WPA: -41.8% WPA
GWRBI!: Ryan Raburn