By the time the 2019 season is over, any of the four National League East teams that get to play the Marlins should be embarrassed if they don’t have a winning record. With nineteen games against a team that might actually have a shot at breaking the ‘62 Mets’ record for most losses in a major league season, each of those four teams should be able to rack up a significant percentage of the wins required to get to 82.
Thus far, the Mets have taken advantage of this version of the Marlins. On Saturday night at Citi Field, they beat them for the fifth time in five games this year. Jacob deGrom went seven innings and gave up one run, and although the Marlins got on the board first with a run in the third inning, Michael Conforto singled in the tying run in the fourth. Pete Alonso and Conforto went back-to-back with home runs in the sixth, and deGrom drove in a run of his own with a single later in that inning to give the Mets all the cushion they would need for the victory.
Seth Lugo and Edwin Diaz each threw a scoreless inning to finish off the game, and that gives the Mets the opportunity—weather permitting—to complete a sweep of the Marlins on Sunday afternoon at Citi Field. If that happens, they’ll be back at .500 on the season. They’ll need to do more against teams that aren’t the Marlins, but feasting upon the worst team in baseball is a good way to, at the very least, stay afloat.
SB Nation GameThreads
Win Probability Added
Big winners: Jacob deGrom, +22.3% WPA, Pete Alonso, +21.5% WPA, Michael Conforto, +21.0% WPA
Big losers: J.D. Davis, -12.9% WPA
Total pitcher WPA: +28.3% WPA
Total batter WPA: +21.7% WPA
Teh aw3s0mest play: Pete Alonso hits a go-ahead home run in the sixth, +20.1% WPA
Teh sux0rest play: Sandy Alcantara hits a run-scoring double in the third, -12.6% WPA