In just a few hours, the Mets kick off the 2021 season. Before a single pitch is thrown or ball hit, our staff will do their best to guess what the Mets’ record will be. Put your own guesses in the comments!
Linda Surovich: 87-75
Michael Drago: 88-74. The pitching staff will have its ups and downs, but the offense will be strong enough to lead the Mets to wild card contention, and a healthy rotation of deGrom/Syndergaard/Stroman/Carrasco would then be enough to make them legitimate contenders in the postseason.
Rob Wolff: 89-73. Feels like a “just short” team (like *shudder* 2007-08). Clinch 2nd WC at season’s end, lose a deGrom-less WC game to the Padres.
Kory Powell: I don’t want to tempt fate, so I’ll go with a cautious guess of 89-73.
Dave Capobianco: 90-72. The Mets are definitively better and have the deepest roster they’ve had since probably the second half of 2015. There’s upside beyond 90 wins here, and there’s downside way below 90 wins, but 90 feels like a nice round number. It certainly won’t take much for them to surpass the Braves, but right now I’d put them a few wins below. George Springer would’ve definitively put them over the top in my view. Oh well.
Grace Carbone: 90-72. I don’t think they’re going to beat the Braves in the NL East, but they will have enough to go into a wild card game against the San Diego Padres. The Mets have enough depth to buoy them through the hard times, and when all their starters are healthy they’re downright scary. I think they’ll give the Braves a good run though, and I think in the end the Braves, the Mets, and the Nationals will all be within a few games of each other.
Vas Drimalitis: 91-71. You could tell me the Mets could win anywhere from 78-98 games, and I would not be surprised. If they don’t suffer any catastrophic injuries, I think 88-94 wins is the most realistic range, so I will take the record right in the middle of that. Their offense should score a bunch of runs, much like they did in the second half of the 2015 and 2019 seasons, and they still have the best pitcher in baseball in Jacob deGrom. Their rotation is deeper than it’s been since 2015, and all signs point to them getting Noah Syndergaard back around the mid-way point, which will be a big boost. The bullpen is the big wild card here, and the team’s chances will rely heavily on if Edwin Diaz can be the pitcher he was last year and not the pitcher he was in 2019, and if Seth Lugo can return from injury and be his regular effective self. I think the Mets eek out the second Wild Card spot over the Nationals and Brewers, which sets them up for a showdown with the Padres in a Wild Card game.
Brian Salvatore: 91-71 feels right to me, but I would not be shocked if the team won 7-8 more or less than that based on just a few things going right or wrong.
Christian Romo: I think the Mets will finish at 92-70 and will comfortably win the division. They have the talent of a 100-win team, but the NL East might be the most competitive division in baseball. The Braves were one win away from reaching the World Series and they did not get worse over the offseason. The Nationals will be better, and so will the Phillies. Heck, even the Marlins made it to the playoffs last year. I think the Mets are the biggest fish in this pond, but there are no guppies to feast on.
Allison McCague: 93-69. Before Carlos Carrasco’s injury, I would have had them a win or two higher than this, but having your newly acquired #2/#3 starter go down with a hamstring strain and miss Opening Day does hurt. And as I mentioned in my answers above, the bullpen is definitely an area of concern. That said, I still think the Mets are the best team in the NL East and their record will reflect that. They are good enough to be a mid-90s win team, even as things stand now. But the NL East is a tough division that lacks a team to truly feast on a la the Pirates or Rockies. The strength of the rest of the division will keep the Mets in check, but I still think they will come out on top of the NL East.
Rich Resch: 94-68. Did you know that it’s been 15 years since the Mets won more than 90 games? This is probably the most talented roster they’ve had in that span, and the most excitement I’ve felt heading into a season in as long as I can remember. It’s a new era in Queens, so I’m trying out this optimism thing.
Lukas Vlahos: 95-67
Chris McShane: 98-64. I’d pick the Mets to win the division, and sure, 98 wins might be the very best outcome, but with Jacob deGrom still very much in his prime, Francisco Lindor in the fold for the long term, and a mostly very good supporting cast around them, let’s go with an upbeat prediction on Opening Day.